Obamacare is like a bad zombie movie that keeps coming back from the dead…but the closing credits may be near.
This past weekend came some interesting news. First, that Nancy Pelosi plans a vote in the House this week. Second, that the leadership has given up on convincing the Stupak group to vote for the bill.
The Hill Monday stated that there are 34 relatively firm ‘No’ votes against the bill right now. That number has dropped over the course of the week, with left-leaning FireDogLake stating 28 Democrats are firm ‘No’ votes as of now. They have it 206-209 if you use those leaning one way or another.
With previously losses in the House, Pelosi needs 216 votes to pass the bill…in other words, she can afford to lose 37 votes. However, there are dozens of members right now who voted for the bill previously who are undecided, ranging from the ultraliberal Anthony Weiner to the moderate Chris Carney. CNN as of Wednesday maintains that Pelosi is 11 votes short.
It is telling that two committee chairmen — Reps. Ike Skelton (D-Mo.) and Collin Peterson (D-Minn.) — say they are firm nos and three others, Reps. John Spratt (D-S.C.), Nick Rahall (D-W.Va.) and Jim Oberstar (D-Minn.), are undecided (Reports have stated that Oberstar changed to a ‘Yes’ vote on Wednesday). Ms. Pelosi is showing weakness when the Democrat leadership itself it wavering.
A dose of reality came from Rep. James Clyburn, the third-ranking House Democrat and main vote counter. “No, we don’t have them as of this morning (Sunday), but we’ve been working this thing all weekend,” said Clyburn, D-S.C.
The official score from the CBO has been delayed multiple times…making me think that things are not scoring well. Rumors from the Hill say the bill is in excess of $1 trillion…the number Obama put as teh upper limit for acceptability. The numbers are so bad, they are considering raising the Cadillac tax revenue number…which could endanger Labor Union support.
Then comes the news from the CBO that the Senate bill, that the deficit spending under the Obamacare bill means we will have borrowed by 2019 is $488 billion. (That’s 39% of the total cost, composed of the $875 billion official estimate plus the Doc Fix of $371 billion, for a total of $1.25 trillion). Add in interest, which is excluded from the official CBO cost, and the total amount approaches $600 billion. So the U.S. will need to borrow an additional $600 billion to pay for a new medical system — one that won’t be up and running until 2014.
How can anyone on the fence about this bill because of cost legitimately vote for it? They can’t, without garnering the wrath of voters in November.
To avoid the appearance of voting for the ultimately corrupt Senate Bill, it appears Nancy Pelosi is going to try to use ‘deeming’ of the Senate bill instead of voting for it. As if the public cares. Let me make this clear for Democrats who are clearly not smart enough to understand this:
Deeming the Senate Bill in the Affirmative = Voting for the Senate bill
You can spin it any way you want. But if you ‘deem’ it passed, you are passing the Cornhusker kickback, the Cadillac taxes, etc. You don’t get it both ways.
Additionally, of the 16 House members on the fence, ALL OF THEM voted against the bill back in November. If you were against the bill then, how do you now flip and vote for it now?
This is truly a suicide run Mr. Obama wants his Democrat colleagues to take. To switch from ‘Ney’ to ‘Yea’ on this bill is the equivalent of a political cyanide pill. Will Democrats get the votes? Well, the dead vote in Chicago, so anything can happen. Do not ever discount Rahm Emanuel and Nancy Pelosi in their ability to pay off members of their caucus to gain votes. However, this is a huge uphill battle, and Democrats are clearly fighting against the current of public opinion. This fight will go to the last breath.
UPDATE: The CBO numbers, as of Thursday morning, came out at $940 billion over 10 years. This apparently does NOT include the doctor fix, which will cost approximately $250 billion. Again, you can make numbers say anything you want. The official CBO analysis can be seen here.
Apparently, the cost is $923 billion for just the last 6 years of the projection. What a joke.
UPDATE #2 – Brett Baier destroyed President Obama on Fox News today. Not by catching him in stupid mistakes, but showing that he himself doesn’t know what is really in the bill. Full transcript here.
From Gateway Pundit: Stephen Hayes and A. B. Stoddard on the FOX News All-Star Panel agreed— Obama was more defensive than they’ve ever seen him. Juan Williams, “I thought he was stammering at times.” It was a horrible interview for President Obama.
The full video in 2 parts: